Friday, November 27, 2009

To surge or not to Surge- in Afghanistan:-1

President Obama will announce in a few days his new policy regarding the number of troops he is prepared to send to Afghanistan at the request of the commanding General there. The hope is that as the surge of this troop (as it is now called) will have the same effect as that has happened to Iraq. Less violence and more stability and faster time to get out from there.

It is too early to tell whether this kind of surge will work as well or not. But in my opinion that surge is not going to work as well as that happened in Iraq for various reasons (which I will elaborate further). Afghanistan is very different than in Iraq where there was already a functioning government before the invasion and people have a sense of identity and hope. But Afghanistan will need to have a radical departure of what is happening now and what it expects to be in the future.

The surge in order to succeed will depend on many reasons, the following of which I will elaborate in details.

1. Corruption should be stopped or curtailed.

2. Border with Pakistan has to be monitored.

3. Americans have to deal with the warlords there in order to secure the countryside.

4. They will have to talk either directly with the Taliban or use all necessary force to convince them to give themselves up.

5. The flow of arms and people will have to be curtailed from across the border from Pakistan

6. Americans will have to devise a strategy to make sure that Afghanistan is never again be used to launch any terrorist attacks against any country.

7. The Government and the Army in Pakistan will have to be told in certain terms about the consequences of any plan or attack ever taking place on America or its allies with links to them.

8. Tracking of financial and material support will have to be stepped up in all countries

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